Run a structured pre-mortem before the decision is final — surface failure modes the room cannot see from the inside.
You've reached the decision point. The room is converging on a recommendation.
Klein & Mitchell 1995 + Mitchell-Russo-Pennington 1989 found that asking the room "what could go wrong?" produces conditional-voice hedging. Asking them to describe the disaster in past tense produces 25-30% more, higher-quality failure-cause insights.
What does the failure look like a year from now, in past tense — and what is the warning sign everyone missed?
Decision Intel runs the prospective-hindsight pre-mortem on the decision memo: projects one year forward, frames the outcome as a total disaster, generates the history of how it failed. Identifies the warning sign in the original memo before the decision is committed.
How it works
A pre-mortem is the single highest-leverage discipline in strategic decision-making per the Kahneman literature. The audit operationalises it: every decision gets the pre-mortem treatment, every failure mode gets a falsifiable proxy, every outcome gets logged. The calibration loop is the moat, not the audit.
Related from the case library
FAQ
Run the audit on a real memo.
Paste a strategic memo and see the audit run end-to-end — free, no card.
Run a pre-mortem