Decision IntelThe Product & 7 Multiplicative ICP Pillars
In private equity, decision value is multiplicative. If any single variable is low, the product value collapses. When all seven sit high, Decision Intel serves as an essential fiduciary audit layer before Investment Committee commitment.
Deal Complexity
A deal with interlocking financing tranches, rollover equity covenants, customer concentration thresholds, and earnout mechanics creates non-linear failure modes that linear underwriting spreadsheets cannot capture.
LLM chatbots produce unstructured text summaries that miss mathematical dependencies, while investment committee members suffer from confirmation bias and advocacy drift when reviewing complex appendices.
Reconstructs the multi-branch causal reasoning DAG across all transaction agreements, stress-testing fragile subordination, debt service cushions, and cross-default triggers.
The Three Governed Records
Decision Intel delivers three permanent, audit-grade records designed for Investment Committees, Managing Partners, and Institutional LPs.
The Decision Brief (2-3 Pages)
Forwardable pre-decision snapshot frozen at T0. Delivered ahead of final Investment Committee commitment. Isolates lead dependencies, structural fragility bands, unabsorbed downside risks, and required contractual mitigations.
• Mitigation Demand: Require $35M IP indemnification escrow prior to signing.
The Outcome Record (1 Page)
Post-close retrospective reconciliation that holds Day-One predictions and realized outcomes to equal scrutiny. Misses and false alarms are graded symmetrically.
• Litigation Escrow Flag → FALSE ALARM (GRADED)
Decision Provenance Record
The comprehensive evidence dossier with cryptographic SHA-256 hash chains, 1,307-deal precedent cohort joins, and verbatim margin citations anchored to original filings.
• 1,307-Deal Historical Cohort Matching
• Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH)