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How long does integration take?

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How does outcome tracking work?

Outcomes are detected automatically from follow-up documents, Slack messages, and web intelligence. You confirm with one click. Each reported outcome makes your future analyses more accurate.

How is Decision Intel different from ChatGPT or a general AI assistant?

ChatGPT gives one opinion from one model: ungoverned, untraceable, unaudited. Decision Intel is the reasoning audit platform. Most tools audit your data; we audit your reasoning — and catch the fatal blind spots in strategic memos before the committee does. It measures the noise in your reasoning the same way Kahneman did in the insurance underwriter study, simulates an AI boardroom of CEO, CFO, and board personas, runs what-if interventions against a 143-case public reference library, and compounds every confirmed outcome back into a calibrated Decision Quality Index your audit committee can defend. Not a chatbot; a reasoning audit, checkable from memo to outcome.

Which cognitive biases caused MoviePass / Helios & Matheson's collapse?

5 bias patterns are documented in this case, led by Planning Fallacy. The full set: Overconfidence Bias, Planning Fallacy, Confirmation Bias, Bandwagon Effect, Optimism Bias. Each is mapped to Decision Intel's 22-bias R²F taxonomy with stable IDs and academic citations.

What is Decision Intel's reasoning audit?

Decision Intel runs a 12-node Recognition-Rigor Framework (R²F) pipeline on strategic memos, detecting cognitive biases from a 22-bias canonical taxonomy and producing a Decision Quality Index (DQI) score. The audit produces a hashed, tamper-evident Decision Provenance Record (DPR) suitable for audit-committee review.

All case studies

Catastrophic failureRetail2018

MoviePass / Helios & Matheson

MoviePass Subscription Collapse

Estimated impact: $300M+ investor losses

F14

Decision Quality Index (simulated)

Critical · 5 biases detected, 2 toxic combinations

MoviePass offered unlimited movie tickets for $9.95/month when single tickets cost $12+, assuming scale would force theaters to share revenue. Burned through $40M/month with no path to profitability.

Decision context

CEO Mitch Lowe and parent company HMNY leadership believed subscriber volume would create negotiating leverage with AMC and Regal. They rejected financial models showing unsustainable burn rate, citing "disruption" narratives.

Decision anatomy

Monetary stakes

High

Dissent suppressed

Yes

Time pressure

Present

Unanimous consensus

Decision participants

Dissent encouraged

External advisors

Iterative process

Red = risk factor present · Green = protective factor present

Deep hindsight-stripped analysis coming soon. This case is part of our ongoing backfill to reconstruct what the platform would have flagged at decision time. The summary and bias profile below are drawn from primary sources.

Biases present in the decision

Overconfidence Bias

high

★Planning Fallacy

critical

Confirmation Bias

high

Bandwagon Effect

medium

Optimism Bias

medium

★ Primary driver · Severity estimated from bias type and decision outcome

3D Decision Knowledge Graph

MoviePass / Helios & Matheson · 5 biases, 2 toxic combinations

Drag to rotate · Scroll to zoom · Click to explore

Decision

Critical

High

Medium

Toxic

Bias Intensity Profile

Severity × confidence across 5 detected biases

Toxic combinations

!Optimism Trap

Overconfidence and availability bias create a systematically positive outlook that ignores base rates.

!Blind Sprint

Overconfidence combined with planning fallacy creates unstoppable momentum toward failure.

Reference class base rates

Across all 143 curated case studies in our library:

89%

base failure rate

-0%

partial / mixed

11%

base success rate

■ Failure■ Partial■ Success

Lessons learned

Unit economics must work before scaling
Platform negotiating leverage requires genuine alternatives for counterparties
Disruption narratives cannot override basic financial math

Source: SEC Filing, Helios & Matheson Analytics, 2018; Vanity Fair investigation (SEC Filing)

Pilot slots available

We caught these patterns in MoviePass / Helios & Matheson's own record — before the outcome.

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Workflows that fire on decisions like MoviePass / Helios & Matheson’s

The same Recognition-Rigor Framework that documents this case audits memos in the same shape — before the outcome forces the lesson.

For CSOs and Heads of Strategic Planning

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